Post by Frank KrygowskiPost by AMuziPost by Frank KrygowskiPost by John B.I've mentioned numerous times that my family had guns in
the house for
3 generations with no one being shoot. But reality
apparently has no
bearing on what some people want to be true.
I think there's no way to logically converse with people
who think one or two anecdotes are more valid than reams
of carefully gathered data.
So much for science!
400 million civilian firearms with just under 20,000
firearm homicides per year, one per 20,000 firearms.
https://usafacts.org/data-projects/firearms-suicides
About 100 million bicycles
https://electronwheel.com/bike-facts-and-statistics/
for about 1300 deaths, one per 73,528 bicycles
https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/home-and-community/safety-
topics/bicycle- deaths/
Which is a lower rate, only 27% of the likelihood of death
per bicycle as per firearm.
283,400,986 autos and light trucks in USA
https://www.consumeraffairs.com/automotive/how-many-cars-
are-in-the-us.html
with 44,534 auto/ light truck deaths, one per 6363 vehicles.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/accidental-injury.htm
That's over 3x (3.14) more dangerous per vehicle as per
firearm.
For an anecdote, all four of my firearms have been oiled
and cased, undisturbed in any way, for well over a month.
Not one of them has jumped up and wrought mayhem. Not even
a little bit.
Nice try, Andrew, but that's a thorough and elaborate
attempt at distraction.
The issue specifically being discussed is whether there's
more risk of being shot - or killed by gunshot - when there
is a gun in the house, versus no gun in the house.
The data is clear, and not even close. Even accounting for
differences in neighborhood climate (or comparing houses
that are both in the same sorts of neighborhoods) if you
have a gun in the house, it's more likely that people will
be harmed or killed by that gun.
Of course there are houses with guns that have not had that
experience. Just as there are people who smoked and did not
die of lung cancer. Nobody is claiming 100% of guns cause
death, nor that 100% of gun owner households have gun
deaths. The evidence is that the risk is over twice as high
in those households, not 100%.
Citing bicycle crashes, car crashes, or any other source of
harm are attempts at distraction.
That's still wrong.
firearms are gargantuan. A selected subset (per 'surveys')
is a selected subset.
Slocumb has noted repeatedly, with numbers. States with
have lower homicide rates.
the dysfunctional cities within them. Missouri, for example,
a firearm homicide rate higher than Chicago.
It's just not a hardware phenomenon. It's a social,
cultural, moral problem as yet utterly unaddressed.